Caribbean Premier League, 2017 – Playoffs Scenarios

The 5th edition of Caribbean Premier League (CPL) has reached the business end with six more games to be played in the group stage and three teams still in contention to confirm their playoff berths. Trinbago Knight Riders, with eight wins in the nine games played so far, have not only confirmed their spot in playoffs but also finished as the table toppers.

With 11 points from eight games, the St. Kitts and Nevis Patriots too booked a final four finish while the St. Lucia Stars are the only team to be out of the race for the qualifiers so far as they are yet to win a game even after playing nine and have just one point in the tally.

Here we look at scenarios that will take the teams into the final four:

St Kitts and Nevis Patriots:

The Patriots, who have confirmed their playoffs spot; now have a chance to aim for a top two finish to get an extra game to contend for the finals.

Case 1: Winning against Jamaica Tallawahs.

Case 2: Jamaica Tallawahs failing to win both the games i.e. a washout or a loss for them in the remaining games.

Jamaica Tallawahs:

Tallawahs aren’t far away from making it to the playoffs as they have 10 points with the help of five wins in the eight matches.

Case 1: Win or a washout in one of their two games. Two wins in two games will ensure a top two finish for Jamaica.

Case 2: Guyana Amazon Warriors not managing a win (either a washout or defeat) in one of the two games or Barbados Tridents failing to win two of their remaining four matches.

Guyana Amazon Warriors and Barbados Tridents:

Despite losing five of the eight games they’ve played, Guyana Amazon Warriors still have a chance to qualify for the playoffs with a bit of luck on their side while the Barbados Tridents still have four matches to play with four points in their tally after six encounters.

The only way both the teams will be qualifying is Guyana winning both their matches, Barbados winning three games (loss vs Guyana) and Jamaica losing their remaining two. This will lead to Guyana, Barbados, and Jamaica ending up with 10 points each and the two teams with better NRR will march through.

Guyana and Barbados’ chances of getting over are directly proportional to the number of wins in their account. There is also a good chance of the NRR quotient coming into play.

For Guyana Amazon Warriors:

Case 1: Guyana with two wins – Barbados should not win more than two. If they win three, NRR will come into play.

Case 2: Guyana with one win – Barbados should not win more than one. If they win two, NRR will come into play

Case 3: Guyana with two losses – Barbados should not win any of their remaining games. If they win one, NRR will come into play.

For Barbados Tridents:

Case 1: Four wins or three wins (One win vs Guyana) ensures them a direct qualification.

Case 2: Three wins (Loss vs Guyana) – Tridents should keep their NRR in check in their final league game.

Case 3: Two wins – Guyana should not win more than one and Tridents’ NRR will matter.

Case 4: One win (against Guyana) – Guyana should lose to Jamaica as well and Tridents will then depend on the NRR.