IPL 2016 Playoffs qualification scenario after 50 matches
After completion of 50 matches without a single washout, no team has confirmed their berth in playoffs of IPL 2016. With 6 more matches left to be played in the league stage, 6 teams fighting for the 4 spots. Among the 8, only Rising Pune Supergiants and Kings XI Punjab are out of playoffs contention.
Here we bring you all the possible scenarios for each and every team who are alive in the playoffs race.
Points table after match no. 50:
| Position | Team | Matches played | Points |
| 1 | SRH | 12 | 16 |
| 2 | RCB | 14 | 14 |
| 3 | KKR | 14 | 14 |
| 4 | MI | 12 | 14 |
| 5 | GL | 13 | 14 |
| 6 | DD | 13 | 12 |
| 7 | RPS | 13 | 8 |
| 8 | KXIP | 13 | 8 |
Matches to be played:
| Match No | Date | Home Team | Away Team | Chances of Rain |
| 51 | 19-May-16 | GL | KKR | 0% |
| 52 | 20-May-16 | DD | SRH | 0% |
| 53 | 21-May-16 | RPS | KXIP | 3% |
| 54 | 21-May-16 | GL | MI | 0% |
| 55 | 22-May-16 | KKR | SRH | 5% |
| 56 | 22-May-16 | DD | RCB | 0% |
The result of match no. 53 between RPS and KXIP doesn’t matter as both the teams are already out of playoffs contention. Chances of rain are purely based up on weather reports. However, we could well expect at least a 5-overs game in the 5 deciding matches.
(Note: Here, Small margin is < 10 runs win. Decent margin is > 10 runs win and < 25 runs win. Big margin is > 25 runs win and < 75 runs win. Huge margin is > 75 run win.)
1. Sunrisers Hyderabad:
To qualify for playoffs:
SRH have almost made it to the playoffs. A win in their remaining two games will seal their berth. Even though they lose both their both games by a huge margin, they can still make it.
Case 1: Winning one of their remaining two games.
Case 2: Losing both games.
For SRH to qualify despite two losses, Gujarat Lions should also lose both their remaining games.
Case 3: Losing both games.
GL should win both their remaining games and SRH need to somehow make sure their NRR is still better than KKR.
Case 4:
Losing both their matches.
| Match No | Home Team | Away Team | Required Result |
| 51 | GL | KKR | GL |
| 52 | DD | SRH | DD |
| 54 | GL | MI | MI |
| 55 | KKR | SRH | KKR |
| 56 | DD | RCB | DD |
SRH need to make sure their NRR is ahead of at least 1 team among KKR, GL, MI and DD.
Finishing in top 2:
Case 1:
Win one of their remaining two matches.
Case 2:
In case, they lose both their matches
| Match No | Home Team | Away Team | Required Result |
| 51 | GL | KKR | GL |
| 52 | DD | SRH | DD |
| 54 | GL | MI | MI |
| 55 | KKR | SRH | KKR |
| 56 | DD | RCB | DD |
SRH need to make sure their NRR is ahead of at least 3 teams among KKR, GL, MI and DD.
To be knocked out of playoffs race:
Case 1: Losing both their matches.
GL win both their games and KKR bringing down SRH’s NRR by a big win.
Case 2: Losing both their matches
| Match No | Home Team | Away Team | Required Result | Required Result |
| 51 | GL | KKR | GL | Huge margin |
| 52 | DD | SRH | SRH | Big margin |
| 54 | GL | MI | MI | Small margin |
| 55 | KKR | SRH | KKR | Big margin |
| 56 | DD | RCB | RCB | – |
2. Royal Challengers Bangalore:
To qualify for playoffs:
RCB is one step away from making it through to the playoffs. A win in their last game will ensure their berth in playoffs. Even though they lose, they can still make it to playoffs.
Case 1:
Win their final league match.
Case 2:
GL win their remaining two games and KKR lose their remaining two games.
Case 3:
GL should lose their remaining two games and DD should lose against SRH.
Given RCB has the highest NRR, even if they lose the following game by a huge margin they sill have an edge on the NRR.
Finishing in top 2:
KKR and GL should lose one game each and RCB should make sure they win with the required margin vs DD which puts their NRR above others.
To be knocked out of playoffs race:
Case 1:
| Match No | Home Team | Away Team | Required Result |
| 51 | GL | KKR | GL |
| 52 | DD | SRH | SRH |
| 54 | GL | MI | MI |
| 55 | KKR | SRH | KKR |
| 56 | DD | RCB | DD |
Case 2:
| Match No | Home Team | Away Team | Required Result |
| 51 | GL | KKR | GL |
| 52 | DD | SRH | DD |
| 54 | GL | MI | MI |
| 55 | KKR | SRH | SRH |
| 56 | DD | RCB | DD |
Case 3:
| Match No | Home Team | Away Team | Required Result |
| 51 | GL | KKR | GL |
| 52 | DD | SRH | DD |
| 54 | GL | MI | GL |
| 55 | KKR | SRH | KKR |
| 56 | DD | RCB | DD |
3. Kolkata Knight Riders:
To qualify for playoffs:
Case 1: Win both their games
Case 2: Win against GL.
Case 3: Win against SRH and if they lose to GL.
GL should beat MI.
Case 4: Win against SRH and if they lose to GL.
If MI beat GL then KKR should make sure their NRR is better than GL and MI.
Case 5: Losing both games.
GL defeat MI while DD lose both their games.
Case 6: Losing both games.
GL defeat MI and RCB defeat DD by a huge margin such that KKR’s NRR is higher than DD; if DD plays vs RCB coming from a win over SRH.
Case 7: Losing both games.
GL defeat MI and DD win both their games and defeat RCB by a huge margin.
Finishing in top 2:
Case 1: Win both their remaining two matches.
Case 2: Win vs GL and loss vs SRH.
KKR should hope SRH defeats DD and DD beat RCB. KKR should make sure about their NRR is better than GL/MI.
Case 3: Loss vs GL and win vs SRH.
DD should win both their games and KKR should make sure that their NRR is better than SRH and DD. If GL defeats MI, KKR will finish at no.2 or if MI defeats GL, KKR might finish at no.1.
To be knocked out of playoffs race:
If KKR lose both their games and MI defeating GL.
4. Mumbai Indians:
To qualify for playoffs:
Case 1: Win their final game.
Case 2: Losing in their final match.
KKR should lose their remaining two games and MI’s NRR should be more than DD/RCB (Whoever finishes with 7 wins).
Case 3: Losing their final match.
DD should lose vs SRH by a huge margin and should win vs RCB by a similar margin such that both DD and RCB’s NRR is less than MI.
Finishing in top 2:
Case 1: Winning their last match.
KKR should lose their remaining two games and DD should defeat RCB. MI need to make sure their NRR is better than DD.
Case 2: Winning their last match.
| Match No | Home Team | Away Team | Required Result |
| 51 | GL | KKR | KKR |
| 52 | DD | SRH | DD / SRH |
| 54 | GL | MI | MI |
| 55 | KKR | SRH | SRH |
| 56 | DD | RCB | DD |
MI should improve their NRR and bring it over KKR’s also ahead of DD (if DD defeat SRH).
Case 3:
Winning their last match.
| Match No | Home Team | Away Team | Required Result |
| 51 | GL | KKR | GL |
| 52 | DD | SRH | DD |
| 54 | GL | MI | MI |
| 55 | KKR | SRH | KKR |
| 56 | DD | RCB | RCB / DD |
MI should improve their NRR and bring it over KKR’s.
To be knocked out of playoffs race:
Case 1: MI win their last game.
| Match No | Home Team | Away Team | Required Result | Required Result |
| 51 | GL | KKR | GL | Huge margin |
| 54 | GL | MI | MI | Small margin |
| 55 | KKR | SRH | KKR | Huge margin |
| 56 | DD | RCB | RCB | – |
Case 2: MI lose their last game and KKR win one of their remaining two & RCB win their last game.
Case 3: MI lose their last game and KKR (even if they lose in both) & DD (if they win in only one out of the two) maintaining their NRR above MI’s.
5. Gujarat Lions:
To qualify for playoffs:
Case 1: Win their remaining two games.
Case 2: Losing vs KKR and winning vs MI.
Case 3: Winning vs KKR and losing vs MI.
For case 3 to fall into place KKR should lose to SRH.
Finishing in top 2:
Case 1: Win their remaining two games.
Case 2: Winning vs KKR and losing vs MI.
For case 2 to come into the equation SRH should win both their games and DD should beat RCB.
Case 3: Losing vs KKR and winning vs MI.
SRH winning both their games and DD defeat RCB. GL’s NRR must be ahead of KKR and it is possible only if SRH register a huge win over KKR.
To be knocked out of playoffs race:
Case 1: Losing both their remaining games.
Case 2: Winning vs KKR and losing vs MI.
KKR should beat SRH.
6. Delhi Daredevils:
To qualify for playoffs:
Case 1: Win their remaining two games.
DD need to make sure they have a better NRR than one of SRH, GL, KKR and MI if all the 4 finish with 8 wins.
Case 2: Win one of their two matches.
For DD to qualify with one win, GL should win both their games while KKR should lose both. DD need to make sure their NRR is better than MI and KKR.
Finishing in top 2:
Win their remaining two games.
DD should hope either GL or KKR win both their games. Also DD should look to improve their NRR.
To be knocked out of playoffs race:
Case 1: Losing both their remaining games.
Case 2: If DD win in only one of their two games and KKR win in one of their remaining two games, DD will be out if their NRR is not better than that of RCB.
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