ICC World Cup 2019: Semi-final qualification scenarios for India, Pakistan, New Zeland, Bangladesh and England
Here are the semi-final scenarios for each team ahead of the last six matches of the league stage.
Pakistan:
Despite three straight wins in the last three matches, Pakistan have got the least chance of finishing in the top four. The equation is such that – they need to beat Bangladesh in their last league game and at the same time hope that New Zealand gets the better of England at Chester-le-Street.
If the result of England game goes the other way, they have to hope that England registers a really big win. Pakistan’s NRR at the moment reads -0.792 while New Zealand’s is +0.572. India also have a chance of finishing with 11 points like Pakistan and New Zealand but their NRR at +0.854 is higher than them both.
NRR scenarios for Pakistan:
To get past New Zealand – England beat New Zealand by as many as 215 runs
Pakistan beat Bangladesh by a similar margin to edge past NZ’s NRR
To get past India – To go past India’s NRR, Pakistan has to hope India lose their matches against Bangladesh and Sri Lanka by 150+ runs each.
At the same time, Pakistan need to beat Bangladesh by at least 200 runs.
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