Semi-final qualification scenario for the Women’s World T20 2016

The Women’s World T20 is heading down towards final stage of Super 10 round with none of the teams have confirmed their berth in semi-finals so far. However, Ireland from Group A and Bangladesh from Group B have been ruled out of the semi-final spot contention. This means the remaining 8 teams are now fighting out for the 4 places across both the groups in Super 10s. With 5 matches more to be played (3 in Group A and 2 in Group B), here we look at all the possible scenarios each of the 8 teams possess.

Scenarios – Women’s World T20 2016:

Group B: (India, England, West Indies, Pakistan and Bangladesh)

England:

England are undefeated so far. Despite lagging in NRR, they have the advantage of winning in all the 3 matches. However, a loss in final game vs Pakistan can put them out of semis spot. Hence, they better make sure they defeat Pakistan.

If England loses their last game:

West Indies:

West Indies have won 2 out of the 3 games played so far. Since they NRR is less than India, they can’t lose against them. If they manage to win against India, they will qualify irrespective of the result of England-Pakistan game.

England will make it to the semis along with West Indies from Group B if they defeat Pakistan. Since England lag behind West Indies on the NRR while Pakistan is even lower, West Indies might finish as Group toppers if Pakistan doesn’t go past WI’s NRR even after defeating England.

Pakistan:

Pakistan’s final game vs England will be a do-or-die game for them.

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India:

Only possible scenario for Indian Women’s team to make into semis:

Group A: (Australia, New Zealand, South Africa, Sri Lanka and Ireland)

New Zealand:

New Zealand have won 3 out of 3 matches they have played so far. They have a huge NRR as well. They will now need to make it 4 out of 4 to enter semis as toppers of Group A.

If New Zealand loses their last game:

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In this 3rd case, New Zealand ends up with 3 wins along with Australia and South Africa. Since NZ have a higher NRR, they just need to hope other results finishing with huge wins doesn’t put their NRR under both Australia and South Africa.

Australia:

If Australia wins in their last match:

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If Australia win their final game and one of the remaining two matches of South Africa end in tie, Australia can make it into the semis irrespective of NRR.

If Australia loses in their last game:

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If Australia loses to Ireland and South Africa defeats New Zealand, Australian Women’s team are out of semis since their run rate is far behind South Africa’s. In such case, Australia will be needing a huge Sri Lankan win vs South Africa to qualify but that will power Sri Lanka’s NRR ahead of both Australia and South Africa.

South Africa:

If South Africa wins both their games:

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If Ireland vs Australia ends in a washout, South Africa will need 2 wins in 2 games irrespective of the winning margins. If Ireland-Australia game indeed gets washed out, South Africa can qualify if one of their games gets washed and they win the other one irrespective of the margin.

If South Africa loses one of their 2 games:

If South Africa loses against New Zealand:

If South Africa loses against Sri Lanka:

If South Africa loses both their games, their journey in World T20 2016 ends in Super 10s.

Sri Lanka:

If Sri Lanka wins in their last game:

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If Sri Lankan Women loses their last match, they might be alone at boarding as their last game is also the last match of Super 10 stage and the other 5 knocked out teams might have caught their respective flights already.